Skip to main navigation Skip to search Skip to main content

Threshold dynamics and density function of a stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process

  • China University of Petroleum (East China)
  • King Abdulaziz University
  • Quaid-I-Azam University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

129 Scopus citations

Abstract

Infectious disease transmission, mainly affected by media coverage and stochastic perturbations, has imposed great social financial burden on the community in the past few decades and even threatened public health. However, there are few studies devoted to the theoretical dynamics of epidemic models with media coverage and biologically reasonable stochastic effect yet. In this sense, this paper mainly formulates and studies a stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and two mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes. We first illustrate the biological implication and mathematically reasonable assumption of introducing the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process as stochastic effect. It is theoretically proved that the solution to the stochastic model is unique and global, as well as the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution. After that, by solving the corresponding Fokker–Planck equation and using our developed algebraic equation theory, it is derived that the above global solution around the endemic equilibrium follows a unique probability density function. For completeness, the sufficient criteria for extinction exponentially of the model are established. Finally, several numerical simulations are provided to verify our theoretical results. Besides, the impact of stochastic noises and media coverage on epidemic transmission is studied by comparison with the previous results of a deterministic model.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)15-44
Number of pages30
JournalMathematics and Computers in Simulation
Volume196
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 2022
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Density function
  • Ergodic stationary distribution
  • Extinction exponentially
  • Fokker–Planck equation
  • Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Threshold dynamics and density function of a stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and mean-reverting Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this