Parameter estimation for a class of radial basis function-based nonlinear time-series models with moving average noises

This paper focuses on the parameter estimation for radial basis function-based state-dependent autoregressive models with moving average noises (RBF-ARMA models). An extended projection algorithm is derived based on the negative gradient search. In order to reduce the sensitivity of the algorithm to noise and reduce the fluctuations of the parameter estimation errors, a modified extended stochastic gradient algorithm is proposed. By introducing a moving data window, a modified moving data window-based extended stochastic gradient algorithm is further developed to improve the parameter estimation accuracy. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithms can effectively estimate the parameters of the RBF-ARMA models.