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N-Beats architecture for explainable forecasting of multi-dimensional poultry data

  • Baljinder Kaur
  • , Manik Rakhra
  • , Nonita Sharma
  • , Deepak Prashar
  • , Leo Mrsic
  • , Arfat Ahmad Khan
  • , Seifedine Kadry
  • Lovely Professional University
  • Indira Gandhi Delhi Technical University for Women
  • Algebra University
  • Khon Kaen University
  • Lebanese American University
  • Noroff University College

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

The agricultural economy heavily relies on poultry production, making accurate forecasting of poultry data crucial for optimizing revenue, streamlining resource utilization, and maximizing productivity. This research introduces a novel application of the N-BEATS architecture for multi-dimensional poultry data forecasting with enhanced interpretability through an integrated Explainable AI (XAI) framework. Leveraging its advanced capabilities in time series modeling, N-BEATS is applied to predict multiple facets of poultry disease diagnostics using a multivariate dataset comprising key environmental parameters. The methodology empowers decision-making in poultry farm management by providing transparent and interpretable forecasts. Experimental results demonstrate that N-BEATS outperforms conventional deep learning models, including LSTM, GRU, RNN, and CNN, across various error metrics, achieving MAE of 0.172, RMSE of 0.313, MSLE of 0.042, R-squared of 0.034, and RMSLE of 0.204. The positive R-squared value indicates the model’s robustness against underfitting and overfitting, surpassing the performance of other models with negative R-squared values. This study establishes N-BEATS as a superior and interpretable solution for complex, multi-dimensional forecasting challenges in poultry production, with significant implications for enhancing predictive analytics in agriculture.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere0320979
JournalPLoS ONE
Volume20
Issue number4 April
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 2025
Externally publishedYes

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