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Mathematical modelling of COVID-19 disease dynamics: Interaction between immune system and SARS-CoV-2 within host

  • S. M.E.K. Chowdhury
  • , J. T. Chowdhury
  • , Shams Forruque Ahmed
  • , Praveen Agarwal
  • , Irfan Anjum Badruddin
  • , Sarfaraz Kamangar
  • University of Chittagong
  • Asian University for Women
  • International College of Engineering
  • International Center for Basic and Applied Sciences
  • King Khalid University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

40 Scopus citations

Abstract

SARS-COV-2 (Coronavirus) viral growth kinetics within-host become a key fact to understand the COVID-19 disease progression and disease severity since the year 2020. Quantitative analysis of the viral dynamics has not yet been able to provide sufficient information on the disease severity in the host. The SARS-CoV-2 dynamics are therefore important to study in the context of immune surveillance by developing a mathematical model. This paper aims to develop such a mathematical model to analyse the interaction between the immune system and SARS-CoV-2 within the host. The model is developed to explore the viral load dynamics within the host by considering the role of natural killer cells and T-cell. Through analytical simplifications, the model is found well-posed and asymptotically stable at disease-free equilibrium. The numerical results demonstrate that the influx of external natural killer (NK) cells alone or integrating with anti-viral therapy plays a vital role in suppressing the SARS-CoV-2 growth within-host. Also, within the host, the virus can not grow if the virus replication rate is below a threshold limit. The developed model will contribute to understanding the disease dynamics and help to establish various potential treatment strategies against COVID-19.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2618-2633
Number of pages16
JournalAIMS Mathematics
Volume7
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - 2022

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Basic reproduction number
  • COVID-19
  • Immune system
  • MERS-CoV
  • Mathematical model
  • SARS-CoV-2

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