Abstract
In this paper, we investigate an SIRI epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and high-order stochastic perturbation. First, we obtain a stochastic threshold (Formula presented.) related to the basic reproduction number (Formula presented.). A key contribution of our paper is to derive the existence and uniqueness of an ergodic stationary distribution of the stochastic model if (Formula presented.). Next, by solving the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation, the exact expression of probability density function of the stochastic model is obtained. Moreover, we establish the sufficient condition (Formula presented.) for disease extinction in a long term. Finally, several empirical examples and numerical simulations are provided to verify the above theoretical results.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1513-1537 |
| Number of pages | 25 |
| Journal | Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences |
| Volume | 45 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Feb 2022 |
| Externally published | Yes |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
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