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Asymptotic behavior of stochastic multi-group epidemic models with distributed delays

  • Qun Liu
  • , Daqing Jiang
  • , Ningzhong Shi
  • , Tasawar Hayat
  • , Ahmed Alsaedi
  • Northeast Normal University
  • Yulin Normal University
  • Faculty of Sciences, King Abdulaziz University
  • China University of Petroleum (East China)
  • Quaid-I-Azam University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

13 Scopus citations

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce stochasticity into multi-group epidemic models with distributed delays and general kernel functions. The stochasticity in the model is a standard technique in stochastic population modeling. When the perturbations are small, by using the method of stochastic Lyapunov functions, we carry out a detailed analysis on the asymptotic behavior of the stochastic model regarding of the basic reproduction number R0. If R0≤1, the solution of the stochastic system oscillates around the disease-free equilibrium E0, while if R0>1, the solution of the stochastic model fluctuates around the endemic equilibrium E. Moreover, we also establish sufficient conditions of these results.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)527-541
Number of pages15
JournalPhysica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Volume467
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Feb 2017
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Disease-free equilibrium
  • Distributed delay
  • Endemic equilibrium
  • Lyapunov functional
  • Stochastic multi-group epidemic model

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