TY - GEN
T1 - AI-Driven Risk Mitigation Strategies for Addressing Fiscal Deficits
T2 - 1st International Conference on Recent Innovation in Science Engineering and Technology, ICRISET 2025
AU - Das, Marisha Ani
AU - Nippatla, Rajani Priya
AU - Tiwari, Pramila
AU - Chidipothu, Vamsi Krishna
AU - Deshmukh, Prajakta B.
AU - Al Said, Nidal
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 IEEE.
PY - 2025
Y1 - 2025
N2 - The research work contains an original concept of an artificial intelligence (AI) plan of mitigation against risks by treating fiscal deficits and rests on a techno-financial approach to sustain the compliance with a budgetary regulation. According to the model, Hybrid AI-Econometric Model should be recommended which would incorporate machine learning algorithm in predicting fiscal deficits and controlling it. The model will provide real-time data analysis and a prediction of the trend of the economical tendencies by the application of the MATLAB, including its AI Toolbox and Econometrics Toolbox, as the means of implementing an adaptive decision-making. The stress tests of the model were performed to estimate the model response to the extreme economic conditions, such as financial crisis and unpredictable policy changes. The effectiveness of the model was confirmed in the results as the precision in making forecasts, early warning of threats, shocks to the economy became much better. This is dynamic and effective mode of empowering governments and even financial institutions so much so that they can address any fiscal challenges and also be able to keep abreast with laws of the budget even in case of economically vulnerable situations.
AB - The research work contains an original concept of an artificial intelligence (AI) plan of mitigation against risks by treating fiscal deficits and rests on a techno-financial approach to sustain the compliance with a budgetary regulation. According to the model, Hybrid AI-Econometric Model should be recommended which would incorporate machine learning algorithm in predicting fiscal deficits and controlling it. The model will provide real-time data analysis and a prediction of the trend of the economical tendencies by the application of the MATLAB, including its AI Toolbox and Econometrics Toolbox, as the means of implementing an adaptive decision-making. The stress tests of the model were performed to estimate the model response to the extreme economic conditions, such as financial crisis and unpredictable policy changes. The effectiveness of the model was confirmed in the results as the precision in making forecasts, early warning of threats, shocks to the economy became much better. This is dynamic and effective mode of empowering governments and even financial institutions so much so that they can address any fiscal challenges and also be able to keep abreast with laws of the budget even in case of economically vulnerable situations.
KW - AI-driven risk mitigation
KW - MATLAB
KW - budgetary regulation compliance
KW - financial forecasting
KW - fiscal deficits
KW - hybrid AI-econometric model
KW - stress testing
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105031404945
U2 - 10.1109/ICRISET64803.2025.11252063
DO - 10.1109/ICRISET64803.2025.11252063
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:105031404945
T3 - Proceedings - 2025 International Conference on Recent Innovation in Science Engineering and Technology, ICRISET 2025
BT - Proceedings - 2025 International Conference on Recent Innovation in Science Engineering and Technology, ICRISET 2025
PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Y2 - 1 August 2025 through 2 August 2025
ER -