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AI-Driven Risk Mitigation Strategies for Addressing Fiscal Deficits: A Techno-Financial Approach to Budgetary Regulation Compliance

  • Marisha Ani Das
  • , Rajani Priya Nippatla
  • , Pramila Tiwari
  • , Vamsi Krishna Chidipothu
  • , Prajakta B. Deshmukh
  • , Nidal Al Said
  • SRM Easwari Engineering College
  • Kellton Technologies Inc
  • Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change
  • University of the Cumberlands
  • Sub Centre

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

The research work contains an original concept of an artificial intelligence (AI) plan of mitigation against risks by treating fiscal deficits and rests on a techno-financial approach to sustain the compliance with a budgetary regulation. According to the model, Hybrid AI-Econometric Model should be recommended which would incorporate machine learning algorithm in predicting fiscal deficits and controlling it. The model will provide real-time data analysis and a prediction of the trend of the economical tendencies by the application of the MATLAB, including its AI Toolbox and Econometrics Toolbox, as the means of implementing an adaptive decision-making. The stress tests of the model were performed to estimate the model response to the extreme economic conditions, such as financial crisis and unpredictable policy changes. The effectiveness of the model was confirmed in the results as the precision in making forecasts, early warning of threats, shocks to the economy became much better. This is dynamic and effective mode of empowering governments and even financial institutions so much so that they can address any fiscal challenges and also be able to keep abreast with laws of the budget even in case of economically vulnerable situations.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2025 International Conference on Recent Innovation in Science Engineering and Technology, ICRISET 2025
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9798331558338
DOIs
StatePublished - 2025
Event1st International Conference on Recent Innovation in Science Engineering and Technology, ICRISET 2025 - Chennai, India
Duration: 1 Aug 20252 Aug 2025

Publication series

NameProceedings - 2025 International Conference on Recent Innovation in Science Engineering and Technology, ICRISET 2025

Conference

Conference1st International Conference on Recent Innovation in Science Engineering and Technology, ICRISET 2025
Country/TerritoryIndia
CityChennai
Period1/08/252/08/25

Keywords

  • AI-driven risk mitigation
  • MATLAB
  • budgetary regulation compliance
  • financial forecasting
  • fiscal deficits
  • hybrid AI-econometric model
  • stress testing

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